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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.55+5.37vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.11+2.61vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.29+4.29vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+2.82vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.12-0.20vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.89+2.78vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.40-0.05vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.41-0.99vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.28+1.82vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-0.61vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.18-3.20vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.52-1.68vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-5.78vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.62-5.33vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.14-4.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.37Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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4.61Stanford University3.110.2%1st Place
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7.29Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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4.8Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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8.78University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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6.95U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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7.01Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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10.82Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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9.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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7.8University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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10.32Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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8.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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9.67Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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11.14Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Young | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% |
| Hannah Freeman | 16.3% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Marbella Marlo | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Emily Bornarth | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 15.3% | 14.7% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Grace Gear | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.3% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Caroline Bayless | 8.2% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 19.0% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 14.9% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 3.9% |
| Ella Hubbard | 2.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 10.2% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 16.2% | 24.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.