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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.40+5.86vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+2.54vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.11+1.65vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.29+3.31vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+1.95vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+1.97vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.89+0.77vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.55-2.47vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.14+1.24vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-1.64vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.28-1.18vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.18-4.94vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.41-6.72vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.52-4.98vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.62-6.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.86U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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4.54Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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4.65Stanford University3.110.2%1st Place
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7.31Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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7.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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8.77University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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6.53Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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11.24Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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9.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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10.82Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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8.06University of Pennsylvania2.180.0%1st Place
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7.28Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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10.02Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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9.64Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Blauvelt | 8.8% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 16.6% | 16.6% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Freeman | 15.2% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marbella Marlo | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Grace Gear | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% |
| Sarah Young | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 24.3% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 22.7% |
| Torrey Chisari | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 2.7% |
| Caroline Bayless | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 12.5% |
| Ella Hubbard | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.