Race 5A

yale-women-interconference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Hannah Freeman 15.1% 17.1% 11.6% 11.1% 10.0% 9.1% 7.2% 5.2% 4.0% 3.5% 2.4% 1.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.5%
Mia Nicolosi 16.4% 16.8% 12.0% 12.0% 9.0% 7.5% 7.5% 5.5% 4.7% 2.6% 3.0% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Marbella Marlo 7.5% 5.9% 6.9% 8.3% 8.6% 7.7% 6.5% 8.3% 7.6% 8.6% 7.1% 6.7% 4.6% 3.9% 1.8%
Brooke Schmelz 5.1% 6.4% 6.0% 7.2% 7.1% 7.8% 6.8% 6.9% 7.4% 7.9% 7.1% 8.4% 6.6% 5.7% 3.6%
Grace Gear 4.9% 4.5% 6.2% 5.1% 5.1% 5.1% 6.3% 6.6% 6.2% 7.0% 10.1% 9.6% 8.1% 8.3% 6.9%
Emily Bornarth 6.9% 8.0% 8.1% 7.8% 7.6% 9.1% 8.8% 8.7% 10.1% 6.2% 6.0% 6.1% 3.6% 2.2% 0.8%
Eva Blauvelt 9.1% 6.1% 8.1% 6.8% 8.7% 7.5% 9.3% 9.2% 7.0% 7.2% 5.3% 4.7% 5.6% 3.9% 1.5%
Caroline Bayless 7.5% 7.3% 9.3% 7.9% 6.0% 8.1% 6.4% 9.2% 9.4% 7.6% 7.4% 5.6% 3.8% 2.7% 1.8%
Torrey Chisari 5.6% 5.1% 7.1% 7.1% 7.9% 7.3% 7.9% 8.3% 8.5% 7.8% 7.0% 6.8% 6.4% 5.2% 2.0%
Sarah Young 7.8% 9.1% 8.1% 8.7% 9.0% 9.5% 8.1% 7.1% 7.6% 7.1% 5.7% 4.5% 4.2% 2.6% 0.9%
Ella Hubbard 2.9% 3.1% 4.8% 4.1% 4.5% 4.6% 5.4% 5.8% 6.8% 8.0% 7.3% 8.7% 10.0% 13.4% 10.6%
Lucia Loosbrock 3.1% 2.2% 1.8% 3.1% 5.0% 4.9% 6.0% 4.5% 6.2% 6.3% 9.4% 9.7% 11.3% 12.7% 13.8%
Teagan Cunningham 1.8% 1.6% 2.5% 2.9% 2.9% 2.7% 3.9% 3.6% 4.0% 6.2% 5.7% 8.1% 11.8% 14.9% 27.4%
Emma AuBuchon 4.0% 3.7% 4.1% 5.7% 4.9% 5.5% 5.6% 6.4% 5.7% 7.6% 9.3% 10.1% 10.4% 9.0% 8.0%
Elizabeth Gildea 2.3% 3.1% 3.4% 2.2% 3.7% 3.6% 4.3% 4.7% 4.8% 6.4% 7.2% 7.7% 11.5% 14.7% 20.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.