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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.81+9.05vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.30+2.77vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.26+9.77vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.75+2.12vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.22+6.97vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.04+3.85vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.72+3.43vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.42-2.31vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.09-0.17vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.02-0.76vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.10-0.25vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.38-4.22vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.04-4.08vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-4.30vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.20-6.19vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.97-6.08vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College1.51-5.21vs Predicted
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18George Washington University0.93-4.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.05College of Charleston1.814.6%1st Place
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4.77Stanford University3.3016.7%1st Place
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12.77North Carolina State University1.261.8%1st Place
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6.12Dartmouth College2.7511.0%1st Place
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11.97Northeastern University1.222.5%1st Place
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9.85U. S. Naval Academy2.044.2%1st Place
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10.43University of Pennsylvania1.724.2%1st Place
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5.69Yale University2.4211.8%1st Place
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8.83Boston College2.095.3%1st Place
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9.24Tulane University2.024.0%1st Place
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10.75Harvard University2.102.7%1st Place
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7.78Cornell University2.386.4%1st Place
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8.92Brown University2.045.9%1st Place
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9.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.774.7%1st Place
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8.81Georgetown University2.205.9%1st Place
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9.92Roger Williams University1.974.2%1st Place
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11.79Bowdoin College1.512.8%1st Place
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13.61George Washington University0.931.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 16.7% | 14.9% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 17.4% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 11.5% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.6% |
| Carmen Cowles | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Samantha Gardner | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Cordelia Burn | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% |
| Bridget Green | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.3% |
| Avery Canavan | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 13.9% | 27.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.