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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+3.65vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.89+6.58vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+4.92vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.11+0.75vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.41+2.10vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.29+1.35vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.40-0.04vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.18-0.22vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.55-2.58vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.28-0.11vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.52-1.92vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-3.44vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-6.88vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.14-3.84vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.62-6.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.65Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.58University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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7.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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4.75Stanford University3.110.2%1st Place
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7.1Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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7.35Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.96U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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7.78University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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6.42Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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10.89Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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10.08Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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9.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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7.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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11.16Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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9.68Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 14.5% | 17.6% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Grace Gear | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 2.8% |
| Hannah Freeman | 16.4% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Bayless | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Marbella Marlo | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 9.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Torrey Chisari | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% |
| Sarah Young | 7.7% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 15.9% | 20.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 15.0% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 9.7% |
| Emily Bornarth | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 25.8% |
| Ella Hubbard | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.