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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.11+3.71vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+3.67vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+3.91vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+4.29vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.40+1.11vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.41+0.02vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.28+2.77vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.89-0.21vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.55-3.55vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.12-6.24vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.52-1.90vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.29-5.39vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.14-2.61vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.18-7.22vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.62-6.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71Stanford University3.110.2%1st Place
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6.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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7.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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9.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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7.11U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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7.02Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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10.77Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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8.79University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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6.45Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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4.76Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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10.1Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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7.61Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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11.39Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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7.78University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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9.66Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 15.7% | 15.9% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 8.6% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Caroline Bayless | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 18.8% |
| Grace Gear | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 5.4% |
| Sarah Young | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 15.1% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 14.5% |
| Marbella Marlo | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 15.3% | 27.9% |
| Torrey Chisari | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% |
| Ella Hubbard | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 11.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.