← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.11+3.70vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+4.66vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.12+1.63vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy2.40+2.96vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University1.52+5.03vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+1.00vs Predicted
-
8Brown University2.41-1.05vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University2.29-1.57vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont1.89-1.30vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College2.55-4.37vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-2.67vs Predicted
-
13Old Dominion University1.28-1.96vs Predicted
-
14University of Pennsylvania2.18-5.95vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University1.62-5.29vs Predicted
-
16Bowdoin College1.14-4.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.7Stanford University3.110.2%1st Place
-
6.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
-
4.63Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
-
6.96U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
-
10.03Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
-
8.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
-
6.95Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
-
7.43Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
-
8.7University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
-
6.63Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
-
9.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
-
11.04Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
-
8.05University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
-
9.71Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
-
11.16Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 15.8% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Emily Bornarth | 7.0% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 17.2% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 14.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
| Caroline Bayless | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Marbella Marlo | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Grace Gear | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 4.4% |
| Sarah Young | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.9% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 22.1% |
| Torrey Chisari | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% |
| Ella Hubbard | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 10.6% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 16.1% | 25.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.