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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.31+5.42vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.46+4.05vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+4.92vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.47+2.20vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.58+0.69vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.30+4.24vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+0.34vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.76+3.86vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.88-0.93vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.84-1.69vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.03-3.40vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.49-2.51vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.39-3.21vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.01-2.90vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy0.13-1.28vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.43-9.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.42Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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6.05Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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7.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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6.2Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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5.69Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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10.24Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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7.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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11.86University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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8.07University of Pennsylvania1.880.1%1st Place
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8.31University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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7.6Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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9.49Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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9.79George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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11.1Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
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13.72U. S. Naval Academy0.130.0%1st Place
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6.21Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grimes | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 11.2% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.2% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Sophie Fisher | 11.5% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 7.4% |
| Emma Snead | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 19.2% | 18.1% |
| Madeleine Rice | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Kyra Phelan | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 5.0% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 5.1% |
| Megan Geith | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 10.9% |
| Isabella Fadullon | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 16.6% | 45.8% |
| bella casaretto | 9.1% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.