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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.58+4.59vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.31+4.49vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.46+3.04vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.43+2.31vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.47+1.06vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+2.02vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.49+2.61vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.03-0.52vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.30+1.13vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy0.13+3.62vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.84-2.73vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.01-0.87vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.88-4.92vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-6.88vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.39-5.03vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.76-3.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.59Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.49Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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6.04Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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6.31Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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6.06Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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8.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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9.61Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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7.48Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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10.13Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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13.62U. S. Naval Academy0.130.0%1st Place
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8.27University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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11.13Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
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8.08University of Pennsylvania1.880.1%1st Place
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7.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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9.97George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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12.07University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 11.7% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Megan Grimes | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| bella casaretto | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Kyra Phelan | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 5.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 6.7% |
| Isabella Fadullon | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 17.9% | 45.7% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
| Megan Geith | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 12.8% |
| Madeleine Rice | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Emma Snead | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 4.3% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 19.9% | 18.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.