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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.47+4.90vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.39+7.81vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+4.26vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.58+1.79vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy0.13+8.62vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.46+0.14vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.01+4.22vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.43-1.94vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.31-2.50vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.88-1.80vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.84-2.75vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.30-1.86vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-5.11vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.49-4.58vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.03-7.26vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.76-3.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.9Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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9.81George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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5.79Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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13.62U. S. Naval Academy0.130.0%1st Place
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6.14Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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11.22Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
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6.06Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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6.5Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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8.2University of Pennsylvania1.880.1%1st Place
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8.25University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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10.14Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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7.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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9.42Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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7.74Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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12.07University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 10.4% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 5.7% |
| Emma Snead | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Sophie Fisher | 11.1% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Isabella Fadullon | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 14.8% | 45.8% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 8.9% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Megan Geith | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 17.1% | 12.9% |
| bella casaretto | 10.7% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Megan Grimes | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Madeleine Rice | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 0.8% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 6.9% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Kyra Phelan | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 4.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 18.2% | 18.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.