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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.46+4.93vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.47+3.91vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.84+5.23vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.58+1.74vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+2.89vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.31+0.61vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+0.31vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.30+2.07vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.41+0.75vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.39-0.04vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.03-3.45vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.43-5.86vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.49-3.55vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy1.19-3.57vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.76-2.87vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University0.49-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.93Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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5.91Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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8.23University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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5.74Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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6.61Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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7.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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10.07Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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9.75University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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9.96George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.55Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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6.14Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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9.45Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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10.43U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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12.13University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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12.9Old Dominion University0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brielle Willoughby | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Cordelia Burn | 10.5% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Sophie Fisher | 10.6% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Megan Grimes | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Emma Snead | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 7.8% |
| Adra Ivancich | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 6.4% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| bella casaretto | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 4.8% |
| Ava Farley | 3.7% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.3% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 16.8% | 23.4% |
| Emma Friedauer | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 16.6% | 34.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.