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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.47+4.91vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.39+7.78vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.31+3.50vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.46+2.15vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.03+2.59vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.58-0.34vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+0.34vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-0.25vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.43-2.96vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.49-0.37vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.84-2.79vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University0.49+0.71vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy1.19-2.42vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.76-2.06vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.30-4.71vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.41-6.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.91Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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9.78George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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6.5Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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6.15Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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7.59Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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5.66Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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7.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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6.04Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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9.63Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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8.21University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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12.71Old Dominion University0.490.0%1st Place
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10.58U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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11.94University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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10.29Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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9.92University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 10.6% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 6.1% |
| Megan Grimes | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Sophie Fisher | 11.6% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| bella casaretto | 11.2% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Kyra Phelan | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Emma Friedauer | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 15.3% | 33.7% |
| Ava Farley | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 11.8% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 16.6% | 21.1% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 7.3% |
| Adra Ivancich | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.