Race 1B

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
John Meleney 12.5% 13.3% 12.9% 10.2% 9.8% 8.9% 8.5% 7.0% 4.1% 5.0% 4.0% 2.3% 1.2% 0.3%
Tyler Rice 11.9% 11.9% 9.6% 9.1% 10.3% 9.2% 8.6% 7.5% 7.8% 5.3% 4.4% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4%
Max Nickbarg 15.7% 14.2% 13.2% 11.4% 9.5% 9.3% 7.1% 5.9% 4.2% 5.3% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.2%
Martin McDonald 3.5% 5.4% 5.2% 6.8% 6.0% 6.6% 7.0% 7.2% 8.1% 8.5% 10.5% 12.1% 10.1% 3.0%
Ryan White 5.1% 6.7% 6.0% 8.2% 6.8% 7.1% 8.4% 7.3% 8.0% 11.1% 7.7% 9.5% 6.0% 2.1%
Trevor Burd 9.2% 7.9% 9.6% 9.6% 9.9% 9.6% 7.9% 7.8% 7.6% 6.9% 5.4% 5.3% 2.9% 0.4%
Christopher Price 9.2% 10.0% 7.7% 8.4% 8.8% 7.8% 8.9% 9.0% 7.7% 7.8% 6.7% 4.7% 2.1% 1.2%
Neil Forrester 2.2% 2.7% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.9% 4.0% 2.2% 5.4% 5.9% 8.1% 12.0% 26.5% 19.6%
William Cotta 6.0% 4.2% 7.1% 5.3% 5.9% 6.5% 8.6% 9.7% 8.2% 9.9% 9.9% 9.3% 6.8% 2.6%
Michael Sturges 5.7% 5.9% 5.3% 7.2% 8.5% 6.7% 7.8% 8.5% 9.4% 8.7% 9.1% 9.8% 5.5% 1.9%
Carolyn Naughton 8.3% 7.2% 7.8% 9.4% 7.8% 9.6% 8.0% 9.5% 7.3% 6.8% 8.1% 5.5% 3.9% 0.8%
Katherine Doble 5.0% 4.6% 6.5% 6.0% 6.9% 7.1% 7.1% 8.5% 10.3% 8.3% 8.7% 9.0% 9.9% 2.1%
Ben Lamont 5.1% 5.6% 6.0% 5.2% 5.5% 6.6% 6.8% 8.7% 9.5% 8.0% 10.6% 10.9% 8.8% 2.7%
Brooke Doyon 0.6% 0.4% 1.1% 0.7% 1.3% 1.1% 1.3% 1.2% 2.4% 2.5% 3.8% 6.1% 14.8% 62.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.