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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+8.94vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.38+5.70vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.30+1.87vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.42+1.70vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.20+3.77vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.72+4.38vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.10+3.58vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.75-2.11vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.81+0.96vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.02-0.95vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.04-1.15vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.97-2.25vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.26-0.33vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.09-5.01vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.51-2.94vs Predicted
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16George Washington University0.93-2.06vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.22-5.10vs Predicted
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18Brown University2.04-9.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.774.2%1st Place
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7.7Cornell University2.387.6%1st Place
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4.87Stanford University3.3015.7%1st Place
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5.7Yale University2.4211.8%1st Place
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8.77Georgetown University2.205.8%1st Place
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10.38University of Pennsylvania1.724.0%1st Place
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10.58Harvard University2.103.1%1st Place
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5.89Dartmouth College2.7511.6%1st Place
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9.96College of Charleston1.813.8%1st Place
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9.05Tulane University2.025.0%1st Place
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9.85U. S. Naval Academy2.043.9%1st Place
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9.75Roger Williams University1.974.8%1st Place
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12.67North Carolina State University1.262.2%1st Place
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8.99Boston College2.095.1%1st Place
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12.06Bowdoin College1.512.4%1st Place
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13.94George Washington University0.931.3%1st Place
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11.9Northeastern University1.222.1%1st Place
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9.0Brown University2.045.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| Bridget Green | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 15.7% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 11.8% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Torrey Chisari | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% |
| Cordelia Burn | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.6% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Olivia Sowa | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 17.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.6% |
| Avery Canavan | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 14.4% | 28.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 11.3% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.