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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.43+5.01vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.47+3.97vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+4.88vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+3.36vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.46+1.01vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.03+1.63vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.31-0.40vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.39+1.77vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.49+0.44vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.30+0.29vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.58-5.41vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.84-3.79vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.76-1.03vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.41-4.35vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy1.19-4.25vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University0.49-3.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.01Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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5.97Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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7.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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7.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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6.01Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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7.63Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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6.6Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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9.77George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.44Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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10.29Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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5.59Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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8.21University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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11.97University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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9.65University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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10.75U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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12.87Old Dominion University0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bella casaretto | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Cordelia Burn | 11.5% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Emma Snead | 6.2% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Megan Grimes | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 6.0% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 8.2% |
| Sophie Fisher | 12.8% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 16.8% | 22.2% |
| Adra Ivancich | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% |
| Ava Farley | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 9.7% |
| Emma Friedauer | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 18.0% | 33.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.