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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.91+2.65vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.74+2.00vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.65+1.15vs Predicted
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4Florida State University0.97+1.70vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.65-0.80vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.75-2.02vs Predicted
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7University of Miami0.55-0.49vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-0.53+0.88vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University-0.36-0.43vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology-1.15-0.03vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-1.44-0.46vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.01-4.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65University of South Florida1.910.2%1st Place
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4.0Eckerd College1.740.2%1st Place
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4.15Jacksonville University1.650.2%1st Place
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5.7Florida State University0.970.1%1st Place
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4.2North Carolina State University1.650.1%1st Place
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3.98College of Charleston1.750.2%1st Place
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6.51University of Miami0.550.1%1st Place
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8.88Florida Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
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8.57Embry-Riddle University-0.360.0%1st Place
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9.97Georgia Institute of Technology-1.150.0%1st Place
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10.54University of Georgia-1.440.0%1st Place
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7.85Rollins College0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Monahan | 19.9% | 15.4% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Eden Nykamp | 15.1% | 17.5% | 12.5% | 15.8% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 15.6% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Sowa | 14.2% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Squires | 16.2% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marina Geilen | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Sofia Scarpa | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 21.2% | 20.2% | 11.3% |
| Naomi Sterlingsdottir | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 18.9% | 18.3% | 17.2% | 6.7% |
| Lauren Mellinger | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 10.5% | 16.7% | 23.7% | 30.8% |
| Sarah Weese | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 13.0% | 21.4% | 46.6% |
| KA Hamner | 2.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 19.2% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.