Race 2A

saisa-women

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Emily Allen 14.3% 13.2% 12.9% 15.9% 14.1% 11.4% 8.8% 6.0% 2.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.2%
Sydney Monahan 18.3% 18.6% 16.3% 14.6% 12.5% 8.4% 6.4% 3.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Eden Nykamp 16.5% 14.7% 14.9% 13.5% 12.9% 12.2% 9.5% 3.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Olivia Sowa 13.7% 15.0% 15.5% 13.7% 13.3% 11.8% 7.9% 5.2% 2.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Grace Squires 16.5% 16.2% 15.3% 13.2% 12.5% 10.0% 7.9% 3.8% 3.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Katie Nelson 7.2% 8.1% 8.5% 9.3% 10.7% 13.5% 13.8% 13.7% 9.2% 3.8% 2.1% 0.1%
Sofia Scarpa 1.8% 2.2% 2.5% 2.5% 3.4% 4.7% 7.6% 10.2% 14.4% 19.0% 19.8% 11.9%
Marina Geilen 6.0% 4.7% 6.7% 7.1% 8.5% 11.1% 13.3% 14.1% 14.3% 9.7% 3.2% 1.3%
KA Hamner 2.5% 2.3% 3.3% 4.6% 5.8% 8.6% 11.2% 15.3% 18.3% 16.5% 8.5% 3.1%
Lauren Mellinger 0.5% 1.4% 1.0% 2.2% 2.3% 2.0% 3.4% 6.2% 10.4% 14.9% 26.5% 29.2%
Sarah Weese 1.0% 0.8% 0.8% 0.7% 0.9% 2.0% 2.5% 4.9% 6.9% 11.3% 21.4% 46.8%
Naomi Sterlingsdottir 1.7% 2.8% 2.3% 2.7% 3.1% 4.3% 7.7% 13.3% 16.1% 20.5% 18.1% 7.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.