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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.91+2.67vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.65+2.15vs Predicted
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3Florida State University0.97+2.68vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.74-0.02vs Predicted
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5University of Miami0.55+1.66vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.75-2.06vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.65-2.87vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-0.36+0.53vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.01-1.23vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology-1.15-0.05vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology-0.53-1.97vs Predicted
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12University of Georgia-1.44-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.67University of South Florida1.910.2%1st Place
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4.15Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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5.68Florida State University0.970.1%1st Place
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3.98Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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6.66University of Miami0.550.0%1st Place
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3.94College of Charleston1.750.2%1st Place
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4.13North Carolina State University1.650.2%1st Place
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8.53Embry-Riddle University-0.360.0%1st Place
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7.77Rollins College0.010.0%1st Place
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9.95Georgia Institute of Technology-1.150.0%1st Place
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9.03Florida Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
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10.51University of Georgia-1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Monahan | 18.4% | 16.5% | 17.9% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 14.1% | 15.7% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 9.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Eden Nykamp | 14.6% | 18.4% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Geilen | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Grace Squires | 16.7% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 16.6% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Naomi Sterlingsdottir | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 16.6% | 20.4% | 16.6% | 7.8% |
| KA Hamner | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 16.8% | 16.8% | 14.7% | 10.5% | 2.7% |
| Lauren Mellinger | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 6.7% | 11.0% | 15.5% | 23.4% | 30.6% |
| Sofia Scarpa | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 16.2% | 19.6% | 20.7% | 12.4% |
| Sarah Weese | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 7.3% | 12.3% | 22.0% | 45.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.