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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+6.64vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.09+6.84vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.26+9.81vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.10+6.65vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+4.86vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.72+4.37vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.20+1.92vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.04+2.10vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.42-3.28vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.30-5.18vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.02-1.98vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston1.81-2.20vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.04-4.26vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.75-7.97vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.51-3.01vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.22-3.93vs Predicted
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17George Washington University0.93-3.26vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University1.97-8.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.64Cornell University2.386.5%1st Place
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8.84Boston College2.095.5%1st Place
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12.81North Carolina State University1.262.2%1st Place
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10.65Harvard University2.103.2%1st Place
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9.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.773.9%1st Place
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10.37University of Pennsylvania1.723.9%1st Place
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8.92Georgetown University2.205.2%1st Place
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10.1U. S. Naval Academy2.043.6%1st Place
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5.72Yale University2.4211.7%1st Place
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4.82Stanford University3.3015.2%1st Place
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9.02Tulane University2.024.9%1st Place
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9.8College of Charleston1.815.1%1st Place
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8.74Brown University2.046.0%1st Place
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6.03Dartmouth College2.7511.0%1st Place
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11.99Bowdoin College1.513.6%1st Place
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12.07Northeastern University1.222.5%1st Place
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13.74George Washington University0.931.6%1st Place
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9.86Roger Williams University1.974.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Olivia Sowa | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 17.2% |
| Cordelia Burn | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% |
| Torrey Chisari | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.2% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.4% |
| Carmen Cowles | 11.7% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 15.2% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Gardner | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.0% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 11.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 11.5% |
| Avery Canavan | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 14.6% | 28.3% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.