Race 2B

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
John Meleney 13.5% 12.2% 12.3% 11.0% 9.8% 9.9% 6.6% 7.4% 5.9% 3.7% 3.3% 2.5% 1.4% 0.5%
Michael Sturges 6.7% 6.8% 8.3% 7.1% 7.1% 6.0% 7.7% 7.9% 8.2% 10.2% 9.8% 6.8% 5.9% 1.5%
Trevor Burd 9.6% 10.4% 9.7% 8.0% 9.3% 9.0% 8.7% 6.6% 8.4% 7.6% 6.3% 4.2% 1.8% 0.4%
Tyler Rice 9.8% 10.8% 10.8% 10.3% 9.0% 9.8% 8.5% 6.5% 6.9% 6.1% 5.8% 3.0% 2.6% 0.1%
Christopher Price 6.9% 8.0% 7.8% 9.0% 9.4% 7.4% 9.6% 8.5% 7.4% 8.0% 7.5% 6.0% 3.4% 1.1%
Max Nickbarg 14.6% 12.6% 12.8% 11.2% 10.3% 9.5% 7.0% 7.6% 4.9% 4.1% 2.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
William Cotta 6.5% 7.0% 6.4% 6.5% 6.7% 7.7% 7.7% 8.2% 7.8% 8.7% 9.2% 9.2% 6.4% 2.0%
Carolyn Naughton 8.9% 8.3% 9.0% 8.2% 8.1% 7.7% 8.8% 8.6% 7.1% 6.2% 8.4% 5.9% 4.1% 0.7%
Ryan White 6.6% 5.4% 5.9% 7.5% 6.7% 8.4% 7.7% 7.9% 10.4% 10.2% 8.5% 7.5% 5.7% 1.6%
Ben Lamont 5.0% 4.0% 4.6% 6.6% 7.0% 6.3% 8.5% 7.2% 8.2% 8.7% 9.0% 11.4% 9.9% 3.6%
Neil Forrester 1.4% 2.3% 1.5% 1.9% 2.0% 2.8% 4.3% 4.9% 5.4% 6.2% 7.1% 12.4% 27.9% 19.9%
Katherine Doble 5.2% 5.7% 5.4% 6.4% 7.3% 6.8% 7.6% 8.4% 9.3% 8.3% 9.1% 9.7% 8.0% 2.8%
Martin McDonald 4.9% 5.8% 4.8% 5.2% 6.4% 7.1% 6.2% 8.7% 8.0% 9.8% 9.2% 12.1% 8.9% 2.9%
Brooke Doyon 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 1.6% 1.1% 1.6% 2.1% 2.2% 3.9% 7.4% 13.5% 62.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.