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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Grace Squires 16.3% 15.0% 14.0% 15.9% 13.8% 11.1% 7.2% 4.3% 1.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Emily Allen 14.0% 16.1% 13.5% 14.4% 13.1% 10.0% 10.2% 6.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Eden Nykamp 16.0% 14.9% 16.2% 12.3% 14.2% 12.5% 7.5% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Marina Geilen 4.0% 4.6% 6.6% 6.6% 10.6% 11.3% 15.7% 15.3% 14.0% 8.3% 2.7% 0.3%
Katie Nelson 6.5% 8.7% 8.7% 10.9% 11.1% 13.3% 13.9% 12.9% 8.3% 4.3% 1.2% 0.2%
Olivia Sowa 15.2% 14.0% 15.0% 13.8% 13.4% 12.0% 7.8% 5.3% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Sydney Monahan 20.9% 18.7% 15.7% 13.5% 9.9% 10.8% 5.4% 3.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Sofia Scarpa 1.5% 1.5% 3.0% 3.2% 2.7% 5.3% 6.9% 11.7% 16.3% 23.3% 20.6% 4.0%
Lauren Mellinger 1.1% 0.7% 0.9% 1.3% 1.7% 2.5% 4.4% 6.5% 12.8% 19.0% 41.1% 8.0%
Naomi Sterlingsdottir 1.7% 3.1% 3.5% 2.3% 3.3% 4.3% 9.7% 13.7% 18.6% 21.6% 16.0% 2.2%
KA Hamner 2.5% 2.6% 2.8% 5.3% 6.0% 6.3% 10.6% 15.9% 19.3% 17.9% 9.2% 1.6%
Emma Pope 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 1.9% 2.7% 8.6% 83.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.