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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.75+2.95vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.65+2.14vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.74+0.97vs Predicted
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4University of Miami0.55+2.55vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.97+0.63vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.65-1.88vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.91-3.45vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-0.53+0.68vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology-1.15+0.70vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-0.36-1.67vs Predicted
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11Rollins College0.01-3.20vs Predicted
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12University of Georgia-2.97-0.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.95College of Charleston1.750.2%1st Place
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4.14Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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3.97Eckerd College1.740.2%1st Place
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6.55University of Miami0.550.0%1st Place
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5.63Florida State University0.970.1%1st Place
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4.12North Carolina State University1.650.2%1st Place
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3.55University of South Florida1.910.2%1st Place
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8.68Florida Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
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9.7Georgia Institute of Technology-1.150.0%1st Place
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8.33Embry-Riddle University-0.360.0%1st Place
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7.8Rollins College0.010.0%1st Place
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11.6University of Georgia-2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Squires | 16.3% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 15.9% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 14.0% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 16.0% | 14.9% | 16.2% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Marina Geilen | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 8.3% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Katie Nelson | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Sowa | 15.2% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Monahan | 20.9% | 18.7% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Scarpa | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 11.7% | 16.3% | 23.3% | 20.6% | 4.0% |
| Lauren Mellinger | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 12.8% | 19.0% | 41.1% | 8.0% |
| Naomi Sterlingsdottir | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 18.6% | 21.6% | 16.0% | 2.2% |
| KA Hamner | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 15.9% | 19.3% | 17.9% | 9.2% | 1.6% |
| Emma Pope | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 8.6% | 83.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.