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📊 Prediction Accuracy
91.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.04+1.34vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.24+1.53vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.79+1.30vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.46-0.80vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College-0.17+1.17vs Predicted
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6University of Miami-0.31+0.41vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology-0.95+0.51vs Predicted
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8Rollins College-0.83-0.68vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology-3.15+1.70vs Predicted
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10Florida State University0.21-4.63vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-3.40-0.02vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-2.67-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.34College of Charleston2.040.4%1st Place
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3.53University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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4.3Jacksonville University0.790.1%1st Place
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3.2North Carolina State University1.460.2%1st Place
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6.17Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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6.41University of Miami-0.310.0%1st Place
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7.51Florida Institute of Technology-0.950.0%1st Place
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7.32Rollins College-0.830.0%1st Place
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10.7Georgia Institute of Technology-3.150.0%1st Place
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5.37Florida State University0.210.1%1st Place
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10.98University of Georgia-3.400.0%1st Place
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10.15Embry-Riddle University-2.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 36.4% | 25.7% | 18.3% | 11.4% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 14.9% | 18.5% | 19.4% | 17.8% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 11.6% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 15.5% | 15.2% | 10.0% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 19.5% | 21.6% | 18.9% | 17.3% | 11.6% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 16.9% | 16.7% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sandra Heilshorn | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 16.5% | 18.1% | 14.7% | 4.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Annslee Maloy | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 20.6% | 25.1% | 11.7% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Emily Threeton | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 15.1% | 19.3% | 21.3% | 11.7% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte Meyers | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 21.3% | 33.6% | 32.9% |
| Niah Ford | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 16.4% | 16.6% | 11.1% | 6.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Austin | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 4.6% | 14.2% | 27.6% | 48.6% |
| Samantha Piccerillo | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 8.6% | 31.8% | 31.1% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.