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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.04+1.33vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.79+2.36vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.24+0.51vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.46-0.89vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.21+0.47vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology-0.95+1.62vs Predicted
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7Rollins College-0.83+0.34vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College-0.17-1.91vs Predicted
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9University of Miami-0.31-2.59vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-2.67+0.10vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology-3.15-0.29vs Predicted
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12University of Georgia-3.40-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.33College of Charleston2.040.4%1st Place
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4.36Jacksonville University0.790.1%1st Place
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3.51University of South Florida1.240.2%1st Place
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3.11North Carolina State University1.460.2%1st Place
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5.47Florida State University0.210.1%1st Place
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7.62Florida Institute of Technology-0.950.0%1st Place
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7.34Rollins College-0.830.0%1st Place
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6.09Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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6.41University of Miami-0.310.0%1st Place
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10.1Embry-Riddle University-2.670.0%1st Place
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10.71Georgia Institute of Technology-3.150.0%1st Place
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10.95University of Georgia-3.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 36.4% | 27.1% | 17.6% | 10.6% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 9.0% | 13.0% | 15.5% | 16.3% | 15.5% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 17.1% | 17.0% | 18.4% | 17.3% | 14.0% | 9.8% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 20.9% | 22.0% | 18.9% | 16.7% | 11.9% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Niah Ford | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 16.6% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Annslee Maloy | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 18.6% | 25.6% | 14.5% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Emily Threeton | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 18.7% | 22.9% | 11.4% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Lily Schwartz | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 15.1% | 18.3% | 10.5% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sandra Heilshorn | 2.8% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 19.5% | 15.9% | 13.6% | 4.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Piccerillo | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 9.2% | 30.1% | 31.0% | 17.1% |
| Charlotte Meyers | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 5.7% | 18.7% | 33.2% | 35.4% |
| Abigail Austin | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 15.4% | 27.7% | 46.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.