← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston2.04+1.40vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University1.08+1.86vs Predicted
-
3Florida State University0.21+2.43vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida1.24-0.37vs Predicted
-
5North Carolina State University1.46-1.75vs Predicted
-
6University of Miami-0.31+0.49vs Predicted
-
7Embry-Riddle University-2.67+3.04vs Predicted
-
8Eckerd College-0.17-1.82vs Predicted
-
9Rollins College-0.83-1.61vs Predicted
-
10Florida Institute of Technology-0.95-2.38vs Predicted
-
11University of Georgia-3.40-0.06vs Predicted
-
12Georgia Institute of Technology-3.15-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.4College of Charleston2.040.3%1st Place
-
3.86Jacksonville University1.080.1%1st Place
-
5.43Florida State University0.210.1%1st Place
-
3.63University of South Florida1.240.2%1st Place
-
3.25North Carolina State University1.460.2%1st Place
-
6.49University of Miami-0.310.0%1st Place
-
10.04Embry-Riddle University-2.670.0%1st Place
-
6.18Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
-
7.39Rollins College-0.830.0%1st Place
-
7.62Florida Institute of Technology-0.950.0%1st Place
-
10.94University of Georgia-3.400.0%1st Place
-
10.77Georgia Institute of Technology-3.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 34.7% | 27.5% | 16.1% | 11.4% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 11.9% | 15.4% | 18.9% | 17.2% | 15.9% | 11.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Niah Ford | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 16.7% | 17.3% | 12.0% | 5.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 15.2% | 17.8% | 17.4% | 16.6% | 15.5% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 20.5% | 18.9% | 20.4% | 16.2% | 11.5% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sandra Heilshorn | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 17.9% | 17.0% | 14.1% | 5.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Piccerillo | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 9.3% | 31.4% | 30.9% | 15.9% |
| Lily Schwartz | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 16.9% | 17.3% | 10.4% | 4.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Emily Threeton | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 10.7% | 15.6% | 20.3% | 23.7% | 10.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Annslee Maloy | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 18.2% | 26.7% | 12.5% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Abigail Austin | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 4.5% | 15.4% | 28.3% | 46.6% |
| Charlotte Meyers | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 18.3% | 33.4% | 36.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.