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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.24+2.64vs Predicted
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2Florida State University0.21+3.52vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.04-0.62vs Predicted
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4Florida Institute of Technology-0.95+3.65vs Predicted
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5Rollins College-0.83+2.39vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.08-2.09vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College-0.17-0.87vs Predicted
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8University of Miami-0.31-1.60vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.46-5.85vs Predicted
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10University of Georgia-3.40+0.96vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology-3.15-0.27vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-2.67-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.64University of South Florida1.240.2%1st Place
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5.52Florida State University0.210.0%1st Place
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2.38College of Charleston2.040.4%1st Place
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7.65Florida Institute of Technology-0.950.0%1st Place
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7.39Rollins College-0.830.0%1st Place
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3.91Jacksonville University1.080.1%1st Place
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6.13Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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6.4University of Miami-0.310.0%1st Place
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3.15North Carolina State University1.460.2%1st Place
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10.96University of Georgia-3.400.0%1st Place
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10.73Georgia Institute of Technology-3.150.0%1st Place
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10.15Embry-Riddle University-2.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Shakespeare | 15.6% | 16.1% | 17.5% | 17.6% | 16.9% | 9.7% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Niah Ford | 4.7% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 17.8% | 15.6% | 12.5% | 6.4% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 35.1% | 25.2% | 19.2% | 11.5% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annslee Maloy | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 18.9% | 26.0% | 12.8% | 3.8% | 0.1% |
| Emily Threeton | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 18.5% | 24.0% | 10.9% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
| Agija Elerte | 13.5% | 13.8% | 17.1% | 17.2% | 16.6% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 14.7% | 18.0% | 17.5% | 10.2% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sandra Heilshorn | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 17.4% | 17.2% | 14.0% | 5.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 19.1% | 24.2% | 16.9% | 17.7% | 11.8% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Austin | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 14.8% | 28.0% | 46.4% |
| Charlotte Meyers | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 18.3% | 33.1% | 36.4% |
| Samantha Piccerillo | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 8.4% | 32.5% | 30.8% | 16.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.