Race 1A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Elliott Mendenhall 4.0% 6.4% 7.8% 5.3% 8.4% 7.8% 9.9% 12.2% 13.2% 14.4% 10.6%
Ian Hopkins Guerra 15.1% 14.3% 12.5% 14.3% 9.1% 9.2% 8.8% 7.6% 5.7% 2.3% 1.1%
Jed Bell 13.5% 12.8% 14.4% 12.5% 13.4% 8.8% 8.8% 7.3% 4.9% 2.6% 1.0%
Ethan Burt 7.5% 7.0% 8.5% 8.2% 8.5% 11.4% 10.8% 11.0% 10.5% 9.2% 7.4%
Charlotte Costikyan 9.6% 10.7% 9.4% 10.6% 9.5% 10.8% 9.7% 8.6% 8.7% 8.2% 4.2%
Ryan Mckinney 6.4% 8.2% 7.2% 8.6% 8.9% 9.4% 10.4% 9.6% 11.3% 11.8% 8.2%
Andrew Powers 4.5% 3.8% 4.0% 4.2% 6.7% 5.7% 8.2% 7.2% 11.3% 17.5% 26.9%
Jean-Michel Bus 4.6% 3.8% 4.7% 5.2% 7.6% 6.9% 8.7% 9.6% 12.1% 14.4% 22.4%
Liam Lawless 5.6% 5.6% 5.4% 7.2% 7.0% 8.1% 8.6% 12.7% 11.7% 13.3% 14.8%
Declan Botwinick 16.8% 15.4% 13.4% 13.5% 10.1% 9.6% 7.4% 6.8% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7%
Shea Smith 12.4% 12.0% 12.7% 10.4% 10.8% 12.3% 8.7% 7.4% 6.3% 4.3% 2.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.