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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute0.40+1.63vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College0.20+0.88vs Predicted
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3Columbia University0.09+0.20vs Predicted
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4Hamilton College-0.67+0.25vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.37-1.31vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-1.09-1.23vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-2.94-0.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.63Webb Institute0.4029.5%1st Place
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2.88SUNY Maritime College0.2024.4%1st Place
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3.2Columbia University0.0918.4%1st Place
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4.25Hamilton College-0.678.5%1st Place
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3.69U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.3712.6%1st Place
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4.77SUNY Stony Brook-1.095.7%1st Place
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6.58U. S. Military Academy-2.940.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Woods | 29.5% | 22.9% | 20.4% | 13.9% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Embry | 24.4% | 22.0% | 19.6% | 16.4% | 11.3% | 5.7% | 0.6% |
| Alexander Sau Hang Ching | 18.4% | 18.9% | 20.0% | 19.4% | 14.2% | 8.2% | 0.9% |
| Teddy Jiganti | 8.5% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 23.3% | 22.9% | 5.7% |
| Carson Totino | 12.6% | 15.7% | 16.8% | 19.7% | 18.2% | 14.3% | 2.8% |
| Mahmodol Mojumder | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 20.1% | 35.5% | 8.9% |
| Sophie Fernandez | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 9.4% | 80.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.