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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.02+7.85vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.10+8.70vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.09+5.87vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.81+5.81vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.30-0.14vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.22+5.79vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.04+2.92vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+1.77vs Predicted
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9George Washington University0.93+4.94vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.04-1.31vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.75-4.96vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.26+0.66vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.72-2.68vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.20-5.12vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.38-7.38vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.13-3.19vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University1.97-7.23vs Predicted
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18Yale University2.42-12.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.85Tulane University2.025.5%1st Place
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10.7Harvard University2.103.0%1st Place
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8.87Boston College2.095.7%1st Place
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9.81College of Charleston1.814.2%1st Place
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4.86Stanford University3.3015.8%1st Place
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11.79Northeastern University1.222.8%1st Place
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9.92U. S. Naval Academy2.043.5%1st Place
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9.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.775.0%1st Place
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13.94George Washington University0.931.6%1st Place
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8.69Brown University2.044.9%1st Place
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6.04Dartmouth College2.7511.5%1st Place
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12.66North Carolina State University1.262.5%1st Place
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10.32University of Pennsylvania1.723.5%1st Place
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8.88Georgetown University2.205.5%1st Place
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7.62Cornell University2.387.1%1st Place
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12.81Bowdoin College1.132.1%1st Place
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9.77Roger Williams University1.974.7%1st Place
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5.71Yale University2.4211.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Gardner | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Cordelia Burn | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 15.8% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 10.5% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 2.9% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% |
| Avery Canavan | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 26.8% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.5% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Sowa | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 15.2% |
| Torrey Chisari | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Bridget Green | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Rebecca Schill | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 17.3% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% |
| Carmen Cowles | 11.2% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.