Race 2A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Ian Hopkins Guerra 11.8% 15.0% 12.8% 12.2% 11.4% 9.9% 11.4% 7.2% 4.7% 2.7% 0.9%
Charlotte Costikyan 9.6% 10.5% 9.5% 10.1% 10.5% 10.0% 9.8% 9.3% 8.8% 8.5% 3.4%
Ethan Burt 7.8% 7.0% 8.4% 8.4% 8.8% 10.8% 9.6% 10.4% 11.5% 10.8% 6.5%
Jed Bell 14.3% 13.2% 13.2% 14.9% 11.5% 9.5% 8.1% 7.0% 4.6% 2.6% 1.1%
Andrew Powers 3.8% 3.7% 4.0% 4.5% 5.2% 6.6% 6.4% 10.1% 10.9% 14.7% 30.1%
Liam Lawless 4.7% 5.8% 6.3% 7.9% 6.7% 7.5% 10.4% 10.0% 14.1% 13.7% 12.9%
Elliott Mendenhall 7.2% 6.1% 7.0% 7.8% 7.9% 7.5% 11.8% 10.3% 12.3% 11.4% 10.7%
Ryan Mckinney 7.6% 6.6% 8.4% 8.9% 9.4% 9.4% 10.6% 10.1% 10.9% 10.6% 7.5%
Jean-Michel Bus 3.9% 4.8% 3.3% 4.5% 7.6% 6.5% 6.1% 10.2% 11.4% 17.2% 24.5%
Declan Botwinick 17.7% 14.0% 14.5% 11.5% 9.7% 11.0% 7.4% 6.8% 4.2% 3.0% 0.2%
Shea Smith 11.6% 13.3% 12.6% 9.3% 11.3% 11.3% 8.4% 8.6% 6.6% 4.8% 2.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.