Race 3A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Declan Botwinick 13.1% 16.0% 12.9% 13.5% 10.1% 12.2% 9.2% 6.3% 4.0% 2.0% 0.7%
Shea Smith 10.7% 12.2% 11.3% 10.4% 10.8% 10.6% 10.2% 8.1% 7.5% 6.1% 2.1%
Liam Lawless 6.5% 4.0% 6.0% 6.3% 6.3% 8.5% 8.8% 11.3% 13.1% 15.1% 14.1%
Ian Hopkins Guerra 13.2% 12.4% 12.7% 12.3% 12.8% 10.0% 8.0% 8.0% 5.7% 3.5% 1.4%
Andrew Powers 3.3% 4.0% 4.8% 4.4% 5.1% 5.6% 7.2% 10.2% 10.2% 16.2% 29.0%
Charlotte Costikyan 9.2% 9.2% 10.4% 10.2% 9.3% 11.5% 9.9% 9.7% 8.7% 7.1% 4.8%
Ethan Burt 9.4% 8.4% 8.5% 9.6% 9.5% 10.1% 11.3% 10.3% 9.0% 8.2% 5.7%
Ryan Mckinney 8.1% 5.7% 8.5% 9.2% 10.0% 9.3% 9.7% 10.7% 11.2% 9.3% 8.3%
Jean-Michel Bus 3.5% 5.3% 3.1% 4.9% 7.5% 5.5% 7.2% 8.8% 13.3% 18.1% 22.8%
Elliott Mendenhall 6.6% 6.9% 7.1% 7.6% 7.1% 8.4% 9.9% 11.2% 12.5% 12.4% 10.3%
Jed Bell 16.4% 15.9% 14.7% 11.6% 11.5% 8.3% 8.6% 5.4% 4.8% 2.0% 0.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.