Race 4A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Ian Hopkins Guerra 11.5% 13.6% 14.8% 13.0% 10.2% 11.3% 9.9% 6.6% 5.9% 2.3% 0.9%
Andrew Powers 3.7% 3.4% 3.8% 4.7% 5.3% 5.8% 6.7% 9.7% 11.8% 16.7% 28.4%
Charlotte Costikyan 9.0% 7.9% 9.8% 10.2% 10.2% 10.0% 9.8% 11.1% 10.0% 7.5% 4.5%
Declan Botwinick 13.9% 14.5% 13.1% 13.6% 11.8% 9.0% 8.8% 7.1% 4.7% 2.5% 1.0%
Shea Smith 12.6% 11.0% 11.5% 9.3% 10.5% 9.4% 10.6% 8.9% 8.0% 5.4% 2.8%
Ethan Burt 7.5% 8.5% 9.0% 8.6% 8.8% 11.3% 10.4% 9.4% 10.2% 8.9% 7.4%
Ryan Mckinney 8.1% 8.1% 7.7% 8.4% 9.0% 9.5% 10.1% 11.6% 10.8% 9.9% 6.8%
Liam Lawless 6.4% 5.9% 5.3% 8.5% 8.7% 8.7% 9.7% 8.9% 12.2% 14.1% 11.6%
Jean-Michel Bus 3.7% 5.2% 3.5% 3.7% 6.5% 7.4% 7.8% 8.8% 11.6% 16.5% 25.3%
Elliott Mendenhall 7.2% 5.2% 7.9% 7.6% 8.5% 8.6% 8.6% 11.6% 10.4% 13.9% 10.5%
Jed Bell 16.4% 16.7% 13.6% 12.4% 10.5% 9.0% 7.6% 6.3% 4.4% 2.3% 0.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.