Race 5A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jed Bell 13.9% 13.5% 14.0% 11.6% 13.2% 10.3% 10.7% 5.8% 4.1% 1.9% 1.0%
Andrew Powers 4.0% 2.9% 4.0% 4.7% 5.3% 6.8% 5.6% 9.9% 11.5% 17.2% 28.1%
Ian Hopkins Guerra 12.9% 12.7% 12.6% 13.5% 12.4% 8.9% 9.9% 6.5% 5.5% 3.7% 1.4%
Elliott Mendenhall 5.3% 4.8% 6.9% 7.5% 6.5% 7.6% 11.0% 10.3% 15.5% 13.8% 10.8%
Shea Smith 11.7% 12.1% 10.4% 10.1% 10.5% 11.1% 9.1% 9.2% 7.3% 5.9% 2.6%
Ethan Burt 7.8% 8.7% 8.3% 8.6% 9.0% 11.5% 9.5% 10.3% 9.6% 9.4% 7.3%
Liam Lawless 6.5% 5.6% 6.7% 7.2% 9.4% 7.7% 9.5% 12.9% 10.6% 12.3% 11.6%
Declan Botwinick 15.9% 17.1% 14.1% 12.6% 8.6% 9.4% 7.9% 6.8% 4.1% 2.8% 0.7%
Jean-Michel Bus 3.8% 5.1% 3.7% 4.4% 6.7% 6.1% 7.8% 8.6% 11.5% 16.5% 25.8%
Ryan Mckinney 8.2% 6.4% 9.2% 8.9% 8.6% 9.2% 9.4% 10.4% 11.6% 10.8% 7.3%
Charlotte Costikyan 10.0% 11.1% 10.1% 10.9% 9.8% 11.4% 9.6% 9.3% 8.7% 5.7% 3.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.