← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Connecticut College0.70+7.23vs Predicted
-
2Brown University2.22+2.34vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University2.15+1.70vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.90+1.33vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island2.24-0.67vs Predicted
-
6Boston University1.25+0.89vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University1.56-1.17vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University1.18-1.15vs Predicted
-
9Connecticut College0.84-1.08vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College1.43-3.79vs Predicted
-
11Brown University1.73-5.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.23Connecticut College0.700.0%1st Place
-
4.34Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
-
4.7Roger Williams University2.150.1%1st Place
-
5.33Tufts University1.900.1%1st Place
-
4.33University of Rhode Island2.240.2%1st Place
-
6.89Boston University1.250.1%1st Place
-
5.83Roger Williams University1.560.1%1st Place
-
6.85Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
-
7.92Connecticut College0.840.0%1st Place
-
6.21Connecticut College1.430.1%1st Place
-
5.37Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Powers | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 18.5% | 26.6% |
| Jed Bell | 15.0% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 12.6% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Shea Smith | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| Declan Botwinick | 16.6% | 15.9% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 13.0% |
| Ethan Burt | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 5.4% |
| Liam Lawless | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 12.8% |
| Jean-Michel Bus | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 26.5% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 7.1% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 10.4% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.