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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Andrew Powers 2.8% 2.6% 4.2% 4.3% 4.7% 5.9% 7.9% 9.0% 13.5% 18.5% 26.6%
Jed Bell 15.0% 14.8% 14.7% 13.1% 10.9% 7.5% 9.1% 8.0% 4.0% 2.3% 0.6%
Ian Hopkins Guerra 12.6% 12.8% 12.5% 12.6% 12.2% 11.0% 8.7% 7.1% 6.6% 3.2% 0.7%
Shea Smith 10.6% 10.3% 10.1% 10.7% 11.9% 11.5% 8.7% 9.8% 7.0% 5.9% 3.5%
Declan Botwinick 16.6% 15.9% 12.7% 11.8% 10.7% 9.5% 7.7% 5.9% 5.1% 3.0% 1.1%
Elliott Mendenhall 5.7% 5.8% 6.7% 6.9% 7.1% 9.7% 9.5% 11.6% 11.5% 12.5% 13.0%
Ethan Burt 8.6% 9.1% 10.1% 7.9% 11.3% 9.3% 10.1% 9.9% 10.0% 8.3% 5.4%
Liam Lawless 6.0% 5.4% 6.7% 7.6% 8.7% 8.8% 8.8% 11.3% 10.3% 13.6% 12.8%
Jean-Michel Bus 4.0% 4.1% 3.9% 5.7% 5.2% 6.3% 7.6% 9.0% 12.6% 15.1% 26.5%
Ryan Mckinney 7.7% 8.6% 7.2% 9.4% 8.0% 9.6% 10.8% 9.8% 10.7% 11.1% 7.1%
Charlotte Costikyan 10.4% 10.6% 11.2% 10.0% 9.3% 10.9% 11.1% 8.6% 8.7% 6.5% 2.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.