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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Liam Lawless 5.0% 6.0% 5.7% 7.7% 8.9% 9.4% 10.3% 10.9% 13.4% 12.2% 10.5%
Charlotte Costikyan 11.1% 9.9% 12.0% 11.4% 10.1% 11.0% 9.4% 9.3% 7.6% 5.9% 2.3%
Jed Bell 16.3% 15.0% 14.5% 13.2% 11.3% 9.4% 8.1% 5.1% 4.2% 2.3% 0.6%
Elliott Mendenhall 5.8% 6.9% 7.7% 6.3% 7.2% 9.5% 10.4% 12.3% 12.3% 9.8% 11.8%
Ian Hopkins Guerra 17.9% 15.1% 14.0% 11.2% 10.0% 10.2% 7.8% 5.4% 3.8% 3.4% 1.2%
Fritz Baldauf 5.2% 4.8% 7.0% 5.9% 6.8% 7.0% 11.1% 9.0% 10.9% 14.6% 17.7%
Tyler Miller 8.6% 8.9% 8.9% 9.0% 11.0% 9.8% 10.5% 9.7% 8.6% 8.3% 6.7%
Shea Smith 13.3% 13.7% 12.2% 13.6% 10.2% 8.7% 8.5% 7.8% 7.1% 3.3% 1.6%
Ethan Burt 8.2% 9.2% 9.5% 9.4% 10.8% 10.0% 9.9% 10.1% 10.6% 7.2% 5.1%
Jean-Michel Bus 4.9% 5.4% 4.5% 6.3% 7.1% 8.1% 6.6% 11.2% 9.8% 16.2% 19.9%
Andrew Powers 3.7% 5.1% 4.0% 6.0% 6.6% 6.9% 7.4% 9.2% 11.7% 16.8% 22.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.