← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northeastern University1.18+5.83vs Predicted
-
2Brown University1.73+3.22vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.22+1.20vs Predicted
-
4Boston University1.25+2.71vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University2.15-0.75vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College0.96+1.24vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island1.42-1.12vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University1.90-3.29vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University1.56-3.20vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College0.84-2.57vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College0.70-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.83Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
-
5.22Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
-
4.2Brown University2.220.2%1st Place
-
6.71Boston University1.250.1%1st Place
-
4.25Roger Williams University2.150.2%1st Place
-
7.24Connecticut College0.960.1%1st Place
-
5.88University of Rhode Island1.420.1%1st Place
-
4.71Tufts University1.900.1%1st Place
-
5.8Roger Williams University1.560.1%1st Place
-
7.43Connecticut College0.840.0%1st Place
-
7.72Connecticut College0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Lawless | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 10.5% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 11.1% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 2.3% |
| Jed Bell | 16.3% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 11.8% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 17.9% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 17.7% |
| Tyler Miller | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% |
| Shea Smith | 13.3% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Ethan Burt | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% |
| Jean-Michel Bus | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 16.2% | 19.9% |
| Andrew Powers | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 16.8% | 22.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.