Race 8A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Liam Lawless 4.7% 6.2% 5.7% 8.0% 8.2% 9.9% 9.2% 11.1% 14.5% 12.5% 10.0%
Charlotte Costikyan 11.5% 9.4% 12.1% 11.4% 10.7% 9.8% 10.2% 9.4% 7.4% 5.3% 2.8%
Ian Hopkins Guerra 14.8% 13.9% 14.8% 11.3% 12.7% 10.1% 6.9% 6.9% 5.5% 2.4% 0.7%
Ethan Burt 8.6% 8.3% 8.4% 8.5% 10.0% 12.3% 10.8% 10.5% 7.7% 8.6% 6.3%
Shea Smith 13.9% 12.2% 12.3% 11.3% 10.3% 9.1% 9.5% 8.2% 5.4% 5.8% 2.0%
Fritz Baldauf 4.8% 5.9% 6.1% 5.4% 7.2% 7.7% 9.1% 10.1% 12.1% 13.7% 17.9%
Tyler Miller 8.9% 8.6% 8.7% 10.4% 9.3% 10.1% 9.6% 9.9% 10.5% 7.4% 6.6%
Elliott Mendenhall 7.2% 6.9% 7.9% 9.6% 8.7% 9.0% 10.5% 8.4% 10.0% 11.2% 10.6%
Jed Bell 16.9% 18.4% 14.3% 12.2% 8.8% 9.2% 8.8% 5.0% 3.3% 2.1% 1.0%
Jean-Michel Bus 5.0% 5.4% 5.0% 6.3% 6.8% 7.1% 8.7% 9.5% 11.3% 14.9% 20.0%
Andrew Powers 3.7% 4.8% 4.7% 5.6% 7.3% 5.7% 6.7% 11.0% 12.3% 16.1% 22.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.