Race 9A

cc-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jed Bell 15.1% 17.0% 13.5% 13.8% 11.5% 11.0% 7.7% 5.2% 3.9% 0.7% 0.6%
Fritz Baldauf 5.4% 4.2% 6.0% 6.0% 6.1% 9.3% 10.2% 10.0% 11.6% 16.0% 15.2%
Charlotte Costikyan 10.4% 9.2% 10.2% 11.2% 11.2% 9.8% 11.3% 9.7% 6.6% 7.1% 3.3%
Andrew Powers 3.1% 4.0% 3.4% 5.9% 4.9% 5.0% 7.8% 9.2% 13.7% 16.2% 26.8%
Tyler Miller 8.4% 7.9% 8.6% 9.1% 9.1% 10.1% 9.3% 11.7% 9.4% 9.0% 7.4%
Jean-Michel Bus 3.8% 4.7% 6.5% 4.7% 6.6% 7.0% 7.9% 9.7% 13.2% 15.4% 20.5%
Ethan Burt 10.2% 8.8% 11.3% 9.8% 9.7% 11.1% 11.6% 8.8% 8.5% 6.4% 3.8%
Shea Smith 13.3% 12.9% 13.1% 12.1% 12.3% 7.7% 7.4% 10.1% 5.2% 4.5% 1.4%
Elliott Mendenhall 5.7% 7.0% 6.5% 8.5% 9.3% 9.7% 9.5% 9.7% 12.0% 12.6% 9.5%
Liam Lawless 7.5% 6.3% 7.8% 7.0% 8.6% 8.3% 11.2% 10.6% 11.5% 10.0% 11.2%
Ian Hopkins Guerra 17.1% 18.0% 13.1% 11.9% 10.7% 11.0% 6.1% 5.3% 4.4% 2.1% 0.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.