Race 10A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jed Bell 15.4% 16.3% 14.1% 13.3% 11.0% 12.0% 7.7% 5.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.5%
Charlotte Costikyan 11.2% 10.9% 11.0% 10.3% 11.6% 9.9% 9.0% 9.7% 7.1% 6.4% 2.9%
Elliott Mendenhall 6.6% 6.2% 7.4% 7.1% 6.8% 9.5% 10.1% 11.0% 13.4% 11.5% 10.4%
Shea Smith 11.4% 11.6% 10.1% 12.7% 13.4% 10.0% 8.9% 8.8% 7.0% 4.2% 1.9%
Andrew Powers 3.9% 4.9% 4.9% 5.0% 4.8% 6.8% 8.1% 9.6% 10.8% 15.1% 26.1%
Fritz Baldauf 4.4% 5.5% 5.7% 6.4% 8.0% 6.0% 9.1% 10.2% 12.8% 15.3% 16.6%
Tyler Miller 9.6% 7.4% 9.0% 9.2% 9.7% 9.9% 12.1% 8.6% 9.6% 8.8% 6.1%
Jean-Michel Bus 5.1% 3.7% 5.7% 6.0% 7.7% 7.0% 8.3% 11.1% 11.0% 14.9% 19.5%
Ethan Burt 7.9% 8.1% 10.1% 10.0% 10.3% 9.8% 10.2% 10.5% 9.7% 8.0% 5.4%
Liam Lawless 7.1% 7.3% 8.4% 7.3% 7.1% 9.6% 9.5% 10.3% 11.1% 12.1% 10.2%
Ian Hopkins Guerra 17.4% 18.1% 13.6% 12.7% 9.6% 9.5% 7.0% 5.0% 4.1% 2.6% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.