Race 4B

oberg

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Katherine Doble 5.6% 4.3% 7.0% 7.5% 6.7% 6.9% 7.5% 7.9% 9.5% 8.8% 7.9% 9.7% 7.9% 2.8%
Christopher Price 8.3% 10.1% 8.7% 6.9% 9.6% 8.4% 7.9% 9.4% 10.2% 6.4% 5.6% 4.6% 3.1% 0.8%
William Cotta 5.6% 7.1% 6.2% 6.1% 6.7% 5.9% 6.2% 8.6% 8.7% 8.9% 10.2% 9.2% 8.6% 2.0%
Trevor Burd 8.2% 10.4% 8.6% 9.6% 9.0% 10.0% 6.9% 10.5% 7.6% 6.6% 5.6% 4.3% 2.3% 0.4%
Max Nickbarg 12.9% 14.1% 14.5% 11.3% 9.9% 8.7% 8.9% 5.7% 4.9% 4.7% 2.3% 1.2% 0.8% 0.1%
Ben Lamont 5.6% 4.3% 4.6% 6.0% 5.7% 6.3% 8.9% 8.2% 7.7% 8.6% 9.2% 10.2% 11.6% 3.1%
Ryan White 7.1% 7.9% 6.2% 6.6% 8.1% 8.4% 8.4% 7.9% 7.5% 8.7% 7.5% 9.2% 5.8% 0.7%
Carolyn Naughton 9.0% 8.4% 8.3% 9.6% 8.4% 8.3% 7.9% 6.7% 6.8% 8.1% 7.5% 5.7% 4.5% 0.8%
Michael Sturges 6.8% 5.0% 5.9% 5.4% 7.9% 7.3% 8.9% 8.3% 8.4% 8.8% 10.8% 8.7% 5.7% 2.1%
John Meleney 10.9% 12.1% 12.5% 10.7% 10.5% 9.2% 7.7% 7.2% 6.7% 6.6% 2.9% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
Tyler Rice 12.1% 9.2% 9.1% 10.3% 9.2% 9.2% 9.7% 7.1% 6.1% 5.6% 5.9% 4.1% 1.6% 0.8%
Neil Forrester 1.9% 1.9% 1.7% 2.5% 2.0% 3.0% 3.7% 3.6% 5.7% 6.0% 8.9% 14.6% 25.4% 19.1%
Brooke Doyon 1.1% 0.8% 0.7% 0.9% 0.9% 1.5% 1.2% 1.8% 1.8% 2.5% 3.5% 5.4% 13.5% 64.4%
Martin McDonald 4.9% 4.4% 6.0% 6.6% 5.4% 6.9% 6.2% 7.1% 8.4% 9.7% 12.2% 11.1% 8.4% 2.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.