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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+3.80vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.02+7.00vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.72+7.50vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.75+1.97vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.20+3.63vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.42-0.46vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.10+3.80vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.04+1.85vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+0.68vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.04-1.02vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.22+0.88vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.38-4.38vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston1.81-2.96vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.09-5.17vs Predicted
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15George Washington University0.93-1.18vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University1.26-3.40vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University1.97-7.09vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College1.13-5.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8Stanford University3.3015.7%1st Place
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9.0Tulane University2.025.0%1st Place
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10.5University of Pennsylvania1.723.5%1st Place
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5.97Dartmouth College2.7511.3%1st Place
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8.63Georgetown University2.205.7%1st Place
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5.54Yale University2.4213.1%1st Place
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10.8Harvard University2.102.6%1st Place
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9.85U. S. Naval Academy2.043.9%1st Place
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9.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.774.4%1st Place
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8.98Brown University2.045.3%1st Place
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11.88Northeastern University1.222.9%1st Place
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7.62Cornell University2.387.7%1st Place
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10.04College of Charleston1.813.9%1st Place
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8.83Boston College2.095.7%1st Place
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13.82George Washington University0.931.4%1st Place
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12.6North Carolina State University1.261.7%1st Place
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9.91Roger Williams University1.974.2%1st Place
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12.55Bowdoin College1.132.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 15.7% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Torrey Chisari | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Carmen Cowles | 13.1% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 4.9% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 10.5% |
| Bridget Green | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Emma Tallman | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Avery Canavan | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 26.9% |
| Olivia Sowa | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 16.4% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% |
| Rebecca Schill | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 15.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.