Race 2A

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Bridget Green 17.5% 18.0% 16.1% 13.7% 11.1% 11.1% 5.4% 4.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
Eva Blauvelt 15.7% 15.3% 12.6% 12.8% 11.9% 9.1% 9.5% 6.8% 4.0% 2.0% 0.3%
Heather Kerns 4.6% 5.0% 4.8% 5.5% 6.5% 7.6% 11.2% 13.0% 15.1% 14.0% 12.7%
Piper Holthus 16.2% 13.6% 14.3% 14.8% 13.4% 9.2% 7.6% 5.7% 3.4% 1.6% 0.2%
Elizabeth Gildea 4.7% 5.5% 6.4% 5.9% 7.8% 8.5% 9.8% 10.9% 15.4% 14.2% 10.9%
Sofia Segalla 10.6% 10.8% 10.4% 11.1% 10.5% 12.8% 10.2% 8.5% 7.6% 5.7% 1.8%
Elizabeth Cutler 6.7% 7.5% 8.0% 8.1% 8.2% 10.9% 11.2% 12.6% 12.2% 8.7% 5.9%
Emma AuBuchon 8.5% 6.6% 9.3% 11.1% 10.2% 10.4% 10.7% 10.9% 11.4% 7.9% 3.0%
Madison Bashaw 11.0% 12.1% 11.5% 11.3% 11.3% 10.8% 10.0% 9.2% 6.2% 5.0% 1.6%
Grace Watlington 2.9% 3.6% 4.0% 3.4% 5.7% 5.8% 8.9% 10.4% 12.5% 21.7% 21.1%
Anna Groszkowski 1.6% 2.0% 2.6% 2.3% 3.4% 3.8% 5.5% 7.4% 10.5% 18.6% 42.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.