Race 3A

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Piper Holthus 15.2% 15.3% 14.7% 13.6% 13.1% 11.3% 8.1% 4.3% 2.8% 1.4% 0.2%
Eva Blauvelt 15.1% 14.7% 13.9% 13.0% 11.3% 11.1% 8.5% 6.2% 4.7% 1.3% 0.2%
Heather Kerns 4.7% 4.1% 5.2% 5.0% 7.4% 8.4% 10.7% 11.6% 14.9% 17.3% 10.7%
Bridget Green 18.3% 16.5% 14.9% 15.0% 12.0% 8.4% 6.7% 4.2% 2.5% 1.3% 0.2%
Emma AuBuchon 8.2% 8.0% 9.2% 8.0% 8.4% 10.8% 12.3% 11.5% 11.6% 8.7% 3.3%
Elizabeth Gildea 4.6% 5.0% 6.1% 6.9% 6.8% 7.9% 10.6% 12.1% 14.9% 14.4% 10.7%
Elizabeth Cutler 7.0% 8.0% 7.2% 8.3% 8.6% 9.8% 11.1% 13.8% 11.1% 9.8% 5.3%
Madison Bashaw 11.4% 13.3% 13.2% 11.5% 11.1% 11.0% 8.3% 9.8% 5.9% 3.6% 0.9%
Sofia Segalla 10.2% 10.3% 10.4% 11.0% 11.8% 10.6% 11.7% 8.5% 8.5% 5.1% 1.9%
Anna Groszkowski 2.2% 1.8% 1.4% 2.5% 4.3% 4.0% 6.0% 6.9% 9.1% 16.1% 45.7%
Grace Watlington 3.1% 3.0% 3.8% 5.2% 5.2% 6.7% 6.0% 11.1% 14.0% 21.0% 20.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.