Race 4A

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Bridget Green 17.3% 19.1% 15.3% 14.3% 10.5% 10.0% 6.9% 3.9% 2.0% 0.7% 0.0%
Elizabeth Cutler 6.7% 6.6% 7.6% 8.3% 7.8% 10.2% 12.4% 11.5% 12.3% 11.3% 5.3%
Madison Bashaw 10.3% 10.6% 11.7% 10.5% 12.0% 10.9% 11.4% 10.1% 7.0% 4.5% 1.0%
Sofia Segalla 9.7% 9.6% 9.9% 10.9% 11.8% 13.0% 11.1% 8.7% 8.8% 4.9% 1.6%
Piper Holthus 17.7% 15.5% 15.6% 12.8% 10.7% 9.3% 7.7% 5.0% 3.8% 1.6% 0.3%
Eva Blauvelt 15.0% 15.0% 12.7% 14.3% 11.8% 8.0% 8.0% 6.1% 5.7% 2.8% 0.6%
Emma AuBuchon 8.3% 8.8% 9.2% 9.6% 11.6% 9.7% 10.8% 11.8% 9.1% 7.2% 3.9%
Grace Watlington 3.5% 2.8% 3.4% 3.7% 6.1% 6.8% 8.3% 10.7% 11.2% 18.4% 25.1%
Elizabeth Gildea 4.7% 5.3% 5.3% 6.3% 6.9% 8.0% 10.2% 13.8% 14.4% 14.9% 10.2%
Heather Kerns 5.3% 5.0% 6.8% 5.8% 7.4% 10.7% 8.2% 11.7% 14.8% 15.1% 9.2%
Anna Groszkowski 1.5% 1.7% 2.5% 3.5% 3.4% 3.4% 5.0% 6.7% 10.9% 18.6% 42.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.