Race 5A

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Piper Holthus 14.7% 16.2% 15.1% 13.3% 13.8% 9.1% 7.9% 5.6% 2.8% 1.0% 0.5%
Bridget Green 20.8% 18.1% 14.7% 12.3% 10.9% 8.9% 6.0% 4.9% 2.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Madison Bashaw 10.7% 9.9% 10.8% 12.0% 12.0% 12.3% 8.7% 10.5% 6.6% 5.3% 1.2%
Elizabeth Gildea 4.0% 4.0% 5.7% 6.5% 6.7% 7.0% 11.7% 12.6% 15.2% 15.3% 11.3%
Heather Kerns 5.2% 4.7% 6.4% 6.9% 7.0% 9.4% 8.8% 11.5% 14.1% 16.0% 10.0%
Eva Blauvelt 14.3% 14.4% 13.6% 13.0% 11.7% 9.9% 9.4% 5.9% 4.7% 2.2% 0.9%
Anna Groszkowski 2.0% 2.9% 2.6% 2.0% 2.5% 4.5% 5.3% 7.3% 11.6% 15.1% 44.2%
Elizabeth Cutler 6.7% 6.6% 7.8% 9.5% 9.6% 9.8% 11.5% 10.7% 11.6% 9.8% 6.4%
Emma AuBuchon 7.2% 8.4% 8.2% 10.0% 8.2% 10.9% 12.9% 12.0% 9.6% 8.5% 4.1%
Sofia Segalla 11.4% 11.0% 11.2% 11.9% 10.3% 11.8% 11.1% 7.9% 8.0% 4.2% 1.2%
Grace Watlington 3.0% 3.8% 3.9% 2.6% 7.3% 6.4% 6.7% 11.1% 12.9% 22.2% 20.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.