Race 6A

maisa-fall-women

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Elizabeth Gildea 3.8% 4.7% 4.8% 6.6% 5.8% 9.8% 11.4% 13.1% 15.6% 15.9% 8.5%
Eva Blauvelt 15.3% 13.9% 13.6% 12.3% 12.1% 9.9% 9.5% 7.8% 3.6% 1.6% 0.4%
Anna Groszkowski 2.1% 1.7% 2.0% 2.7% 1.7% 3.2% 4.8% 6.8% 9.3% 17.2% 48.5%
Bridget Green 17.8% 17.3% 14.4% 13.9% 12.3% 8.5% 7.1% 4.6% 2.6% 1.4% 0.1%
Emma AuBuchon 8.2% 7.6% 8.6% 9.5% 8.4% 11.2% 11.4% 12.5% 9.4% 8.6% 4.6%
Piper Holthus 17.7% 15.8% 14.0% 13.6% 11.4% 8.0% 7.5% 7.0% 3.4% 1.3% 0.3%
Madison Bashaw 12.0% 12.2% 13.3% 11.5% 12.4% 11.1% 9.8% 7.5% 5.5% 3.6% 1.1%
Elizabeth Cutler 6.2% 6.9% 7.8% 9.3% 9.2% 11.5% 9.7% 10.7% 13.2% 11.2% 4.3%
Sofia Segalla 9.3% 11.0% 10.7% 9.8% 14.1% 11.6% 10.4% 8.6% 8.6% 4.7% 1.2%
Heather Kerns 4.7% 5.9% 6.5% 6.2% 7.6% 8.4% 10.4% 11.8% 14.0% 14.6% 9.9%
Grace Watlington 2.9% 3.0% 4.3% 4.6% 5.0% 6.8% 8.0% 9.6% 14.8% 19.9% 21.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.