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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+6.00vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.57+4.17vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.28+3.97vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia0.26+5.05vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.40-0.75vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-1.22vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-1.44vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.55-4.20vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.69-5.32vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University-0.14-0.53vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.88-5.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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6.17Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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6.97Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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9.05University of Virginia0.260.0%1st Place
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4.25U. S. Naval Academy2.400.2%1st Place
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4.78St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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5.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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3.8Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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3.68Cornell University2.690.2%1st Place
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9.47Christopher Newport University-0.140.0%1st Place
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5.27University of Pennsylvania1.880.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heather Kerns | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 5.4% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 6.5% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 7.6% | 3.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 16.3% | 15.1% | 5.6% |
| Anna Groszkowski | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 28.4% | 33.4% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 16.5% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Madison Bashaw | 11.6% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Piper Holthus | 18.9% | 19.4% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Green | 18.2% | 19.8% | 16.2% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Gail Schneider | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 19.5% | 48.4% |
| Madeleine Rice | 9.5% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.