Race 8A

maisa-fall-women

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Elizabeth Gildea 3.1% 4.7% 6.2% 6.6% 8.6% 9.9% 10.1% 15.3% 16.0% 12.9% 6.6%
Heather Kerns 5.2% 4.5% 5.4% 7.8% 8.0% 9.0% 11.1% 13.0% 16.7% 14.6% 4.7%
Madeleine Rice 8.8% 8.4% 9.0% 11.9% 10.2% 11.6% 11.8% 10.6% 10.7% 5.0% 2.0%
Bridget Green 17.7% 18.0% 16.6% 13.5% 12.1% 9.1% 5.9% 4.0% 2.1% 0.9% 0.1%
Madison Bashaw 12.8% 11.6% 11.5% 12.7% 11.8% 11.4% 10.7% 8.1% 6.5% 2.6% 0.3%
Eva Blauvelt 14.6% 14.1% 15.6% 13.6% 11.8% 10.1% 7.5% 5.6% 4.9% 1.8% 0.4%
Anna Groszkowski 2.7% 3.4% 1.7% 2.0% 3.3% 4.7% 6.5% 7.5% 11.2% 26.0% 31.0%
Piper Holthus 19.2% 18.1% 15.8% 11.2% 11.3% 8.2% 8.8% 4.2% 2.5% 0.7% 0.0%
Elizabeth Cutler 5.8% 7.5% 7.4% 8.4% 9.0% 11.3% 12.7% 13.6% 10.9% 9.4% 4.0%
Emma AuBuchon 9.2% 8.2% 9.5% 9.9% 11.4% 10.8% 11.1% 11.4% 10.4% 6.5% 1.6%
Gail Schneider 0.9% 1.5% 1.3% 2.4% 2.5% 3.9% 3.8% 6.7% 8.1% 19.6% 49.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.