Race 9A

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Piper Holthus 14.7% 17.5% 13.7% 13.2% 12.8% 12.5% 6.8% 5.3% 2.0% 0.9% 0.6%
Emma AuBuchon 7.2% 8.2% 9.2% 8.7% 9.8% 11.0% 12.8% 10.4% 11.5% 8.6% 2.6%
Madeleine Rice 8.4% 7.3% 9.2% 10.1% 10.8% 11.6% 12.0% 11.1% 9.8% 7.0% 2.7%
Heather Kerns 4.5% 3.7% 6.0% 6.1% 8.1% 7.5% 9.7% 14.7% 13.1% 16.4% 10.2%
Eva Blauvelt 16.3% 13.1% 13.5% 14.0% 11.2% 9.9% 8.8% 5.5% 4.2% 2.9% 0.6%
Elizabeth Gildea 4.3% 5.0% 7.2% 5.3% 8.4% 7.7% 10.3% 13.5% 13.6% 13.9% 10.8%
Elizabeth Cutler 8.0% 7.0% 7.6% 9.0% 7.9% 12.2% 11.5% 10.4% 12.3% 9.4% 4.7%
Madison Bashaw 11.4% 13.6% 12.1% 12.3% 12.4% 9.5% 9.9% 8.6% 6.9% 2.6% 0.7%
Anna Groszkowski 1.7% 1.9% 2.2% 3.2% 2.4% 4.4% 4.6% 6.0% 9.7% 16.1% 47.8%
Bridget Green 20.8% 18.9% 15.4% 13.6% 10.1% 7.9% 6.1% 3.7% 2.7% 0.6% 0.2%
Grace Watlington 2.7% 3.8% 3.9% 4.5% 6.1% 5.8% 7.5% 10.8% 14.2% 21.6% 19.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.