Race 10A

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Madison Bashaw 10.7% 11.8% 11.5% 14.4% 10.4% 11.8% 11.1% 8.8% 5.3% 3.2% 1.0%
Piper Holthus 17.8% 18.0% 14.9% 13.3% 9.9% 10.4% 7.5% 3.7% 3.0% 1.5% 0.0%
Madeleine Rice 8.7% 8.7% 9.2% 9.7% 11.0% 11.7% 9.6% 11.4% 10.7% 6.9% 2.4%
Sophia Devling 14.2% 12.0% 13.9% 12.0% 12.5% 10.4% 7.9% 8.2% 5.8% 2.3% 0.8%
Eva Blauvelt 17.3% 15.2% 13.8% 11.9% 11.2% 9.5% 8.2% 6.0% 4.7% 1.7% 0.5%
Anna Groszkowski 1.5% 2.0% 2.2% 2.5% 4.0% 4.1% 3.9% 5.9% 10.2% 17.2% 46.5%
Emma AuBuchon 8.9% 8.8% 9.9% 10.2% 10.1% 9.7% 11.7% 11.8% 9.6% 6.0% 3.3%
Elizabeth Gildea 5.8% 5.4% 6.6% 6.8% 8.3% 8.5% 11.6% 11.1% 12.1% 14.3% 9.5%
Heather Kerns 5.4% 5.1% 4.7% 7.4% 6.0% 8.5% 10.8% 10.4% 16.4% 14.9% 10.4%
Grace Watlington 3.1% 4.2% 3.9% 4.2% 5.9% 6.7% 7.2% 10.3% 12.0% 20.2% 22.3%
Elizabeth Cutler 6.6% 8.8% 9.4% 7.6% 10.7% 8.7% 10.5% 12.4% 10.2% 11.8% 3.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.