Race 11A

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Sophia Devling 13.5% 12.9% 14.7% 11.1% 12.7% 11.4% 9.8% 7.4% 3.6% 2.0% 0.9%
Madeleine Rice 10.5% 8.1% 10.3% 11.3% 11.5% 10.7% 9.9% 10.1% 9.9% 5.8% 1.9%
Piper Holthus 16.1% 17.6% 14.3% 13.3% 10.8% 9.8% 8.1% 5.5% 2.8% 1.6% 0.1%
Madison Bashaw 12.1% 11.1% 10.4% 12.3% 12.7% 10.8% 11.3% 7.9% 5.2% 4.6% 1.6%
Elizabeth Gildea 5.1% 5.8% 6.4% 6.9% 6.7% 8.8% 10.4% 10.0% 15.0% 14.6% 10.3%
Eva Blauvelt 15.4% 15.3% 14.6% 12.9% 11.1% 8.0% 8.5% 5.4% 5.4% 2.6% 0.8%
Anna Groszkowski 2.4% 3.1% 2.6% 2.0% 3.4% 3.3% 5.0% 7.9% 11.6% 14.1% 44.6%
Emma AuBuchon 8.9% 8.2% 9.9% 10.9% 10.4% 9.7% 9.3% 10.9% 10.0% 8.1% 3.7%
Elizabeth Cutler 6.8% 7.8% 6.9% 8.1% 7.3% 11.5% 10.7% 13.1% 11.6% 9.7% 6.5%
Heather Kerns 6.2% 6.0% 5.7% 7.2% 7.6% 8.6% 9.6% 11.4% 14.0% 14.6% 9.1%
Grace Watlington 3.0% 4.1% 4.2% 4.0% 5.8% 7.4% 7.4% 10.4% 10.9% 22.3% 20.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.