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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+8.64vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.38+5.54vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.20+5.68vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.97+5.96vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.30-0.23vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.72+4.44vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.51+5.09vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.75-1.94vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.020.00vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.04-1.16vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.81-0.93vs Predicted
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12George Washington University0.93+1.68vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.26-0.15vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.42-8.36vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.40-5.77vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.10-5.33vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.22-4.95vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.04-8.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.774.2%1st Place
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7.54Cornell University2.386.5%1st Place
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8.68Georgetown University2.204.6%1st Place
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9.96Roger Williams University1.973.8%1st Place
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4.77Stanford University3.3017.1%1st Place
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10.44University of Pennsylvania1.724.2%1st Place
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12.09Bowdoin College1.512.5%1st Place
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6.06Dartmouth College2.7512.1%1st Place
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9.0Tulane University2.025.5%1st Place
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8.84Brown University2.045.2%1st Place
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10.07College of Charleston1.814.0%1st Place
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13.68George Washington University0.931.6%1st Place
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12.85North Carolina State University1.261.8%1st Place
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5.64Yale University2.4212.2%1st Place
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9.23Boston College2.404.5%1st Place
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10.67Harvard University2.103.0%1st Place
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12.05Northeastern University1.222.5%1st Place
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9.81U. S. Naval Academy2.044.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% |
| Bridget Green | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Piper Holthus | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 17.1% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 4.9% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 12.8% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 12.1% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% |
| Avery Canavan | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 25.8% |
| Olivia Sowa | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 17.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 12.2% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% |
| Cordelia Burn | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 12.8% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.