Race 5B

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
William Cotta 5.7% 5.1% 6.8% 7.0% 7.0% 7.7% 6.9% 7.5% 9.6% 8.2% 10.0% 9.6% 6.2% 2.7%
Tyler Rice 11.8% 11.5% 10.6% 8.4% 10.1% 9.8% 8.1% 9.3% 6.1% 5.7% 3.1% 3.8% 1.4% 0.3%
Christopher Price 8.7% 7.8% 9.5% 8.1% 7.1% 8.2% 8.8% 7.9% 8.1% 9.1% 7.1% 6.1% 2.3% 1.2%
Max Nickbarg 13.5% 14.8% 11.8% 11.8% 10.7% 9.8% 7.2% 6.6% 5.0% 3.9% 3.3% 0.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Ryan White 4.7% 6.4% 6.9% 8.2% 7.3% 6.6% 9.8% 7.0% 7.0% 9.8% 9.0% 9.4% 6.0% 1.9%
Carolyn Naughton 8.0% 7.3% 8.3% 7.9% 9.7% 8.8% 8.1% 8.1% 8.0% 7.7% 6.8% 6.5% 3.7% 1.1%
John Meleney 14.1% 14.6% 10.7% 11.3% 9.4% 8.6% 8.6% 6.4% 7.0% 3.5% 2.3% 2.3% 0.7% 0.5%
Neil Forrester 1.7% 3.4% 1.9% 2.9% 2.9% 3.9% 2.7% 4.4% 4.0% 6.6% 7.8% 11.4% 27.5% 18.9%
Michael Sturges 6.8% 4.5% 7.2% 5.1% 6.5% 7.3% 9.2% 9.0% 8.7% 9.3% 10.2% 8.3% 6.0% 1.9%
Trevor Burd 8.7% 8.4% 10.6% 10.3% 9.1% 8.2% 8.1% 8.3% 8.2% 7.7% 5.5% 4.3% 2.3% 0.3%
Martin McDonald 4.6% 5.2% 3.8% 5.7% 6.4% 6.2% 6.9% 7.7% 9.0% 8.6% 11.6% 10.2% 9.8% 4.3%
Katherine Doble 5.6% 4.6% 5.6% 6.3% 7.2% 6.3% 8.6% 8.2% 9.2% 8.7% 8.3% 9.8% 9.6% 2.0%
Ben Lamont 5.5% 5.7% 5.8% 5.6% 5.7% 7.2% 6.2% 7.7% 8.6% 9.0% 9.9% 11.8% 8.6% 2.7%
Brooke Doyon 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 1.4% 0.9% 1.4% 0.8% 1.9% 1.5% 2.2% 5.1% 5.7% 15.1% 62.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.