Race 1B

maisa-fall-women

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Riley Kloc 12.6% 14.5% 14.6% 14.8% 13.4% 11.5% 8.1% 5.3% 3.9% 0.8% 0.5%
Meredith Moran 28.2% 21.3% 16.3% 12.2% 9.1% 6.2% 4.5% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Torrey Chisari 18.8% 17.7% 17.1% 13.9% 11.6% 9.5% 6.1% 3.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Lily Flack 4.8% 5.9% 6.6% 7.3% 8.8% 10.6% 11.7% 15.3% 12.0% 11.0% 6.0%
Brook Wood 6.2% 6.5% 8.1% 9.5% 8.7% 10.4% 11.9% 12.8% 10.4% 11.2% 4.3%
Islay Van Dusen 8.8% 10.9% 10.6% 10.0% 12.4% 11.5% 12.4% 8.1% 8.3% 4.9% 2.1%
Caroline Sandoval 7.2% 7.0% 8.6% 9.6% 11.2% 10.6% 11.6% 11.1% 10.8% 8.0% 4.3%
Aubin Hattendorf 6.3% 5.6% 7.0% 9.8% 8.9% 10.6% 12.1% 10.9% 12.1% 10.8% 5.9%
Hannah Mercurio 1.4% 2.4% 2.7% 3.2% 2.5% 3.7% 5.2% 7.9% 10.1% 15.3% 45.6%
Laura Smith 3.3% 4.3% 4.2% 5.8% 6.6% 7.0% 9.5% 12.6% 13.8% 19.4% 13.5%
Allison Volk 2.4% 3.9% 4.2% 3.9% 6.8% 8.4% 6.9% 11.6% 16.1% 18.0% 17.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.