Race 2B

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Islay Van Dusen 7.2% 11.0% 9.5% 11.2% 12.6% 13.6% 11.5% 10.6% 7.1% 4.4% 1.3%
Riley Kloc 15.2% 14.4% 15.3% 14.5% 12.1% 9.3% 8.6% 5.6% 4.0% 0.8% 0.2%
Meredith Moran 23.6% 23.1% 17.3% 12.0% 9.7% 7.7% 3.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Torrey Chisari 20.1% 16.2% 16.5% 15.7% 11.1% 9.3% 5.0% 3.3% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
Allison Volk 3.2% 3.3% 3.9% 3.8% 5.7% 6.0% 7.8% 11.0% 15.0% 18.1% 22.2%
Laura Smith 2.7% 4.1% 5.1% 5.0% 6.3% 7.0% 9.5% 10.8% 14.9% 17.3% 17.3%
Caroline Sandoval 8.1% 6.0% 8.9% 8.9% 10.2% 10.8% 11.8% 12.6% 10.9% 6.8% 5.0%
Lily Flack 6.4% 5.9% 7.7% 10.3% 9.2% 10.0% 12.4% 11.4% 11.2% 11.1% 4.4%
Aubin Hattendorf 5.1% 6.3% 6.0% 7.7% 8.9% 10.5% 11.9% 13.1% 13.0% 10.9% 6.6%
Brook Wood 7.0% 7.8% 7.1% 8.6% 10.1% 11.0% 11.4% 12.3% 11.0% 10.0% 3.7%
Hannah Mercurio 1.4% 1.9% 2.7% 2.3% 4.1% 4.8% 6.2% 7.3% 10.4% 19.8% 39.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.