Race 3B

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Riley Kloc 12.3% 15.5% 14.8% 13.4% 13.5% 11.8% 8.8% 5.3% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3%
Meredith Moran 27.3% 21.5% 14.4% 15.6% 8.6% 6.7% 3.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Laura Smith 3.5% 3.9% 3.7% 3.5% 5.9% 7.1% 9.8% 11.1% 16.4% 17.7% 17.4%
Torrey Chisari 18.5% 17.2% 18.0% 14.6% 12.0% 7.8% 6.3% 3.6% 1.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Islay Van Dusen 10.1% 9.7% 11.6% 11.4% 9.9% 10.7% 12.8% 10.5% 6.6% 5.1% 1.6%
Caroline Sandoval 5.9% 7.2% 8.1% 7.8% 10.8% 11.4% 11.1% 12.0% 11.2% 9.5% 5.0%
Aubin Hattendorf 6.2% 6.3% 7.4% 8.7% 9.3% 10.0% 11.4% 14.1% 12.8% 8.4% 5.4%
Brook Wood 6.6% 5.7% 8.2% 9.7% 12.0% 11.6% 9.9% 11.4% 11.7% 9.3% 3.9%
Allison Volk 2.9% 3.5% 3.2% 3.9% 4.4% 7.7% 8.2% 10.5% 13.3% 21.8% 20.6%
Hannah Mercurio 1.5% 2.3% 1.7% 3.3% 4.4% 3.6% 7.2% 7.7% 10.0% 17.5% 40.8%
Lily Flack 5.2% 7.2% 8.9% 8.1% 9.2% 11.6% 11.1% 11.8% 13.0% 9.0% 4.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.